With a 2-0 Test series win over Bangladesh, the Indian cricket team has given a huge boost to their World Test Championship qualification scenario. Currently ranked second in the points table, India have only a 4-match series against Australia ahead of next year’s WTC final. After suffering a debacle at the hands of New Zealand in the WTC final in the last cycle, the Indian team has a huge opportunity to set things right this time around. But, there are still a few hurdles in their way before their progress to the finals is confirmed.
Final scenario of India’s World Test Championship:
First and foremost, if Rohit Sharma’s men beat Australia 4-0 in their upcoming match, the Indian team will seal their place in the WTC final. Such a result, with a PCT of 68.06%, would seal India’s ticket to the final, irrespective of the results of the other contenders.
If India wins against Australia by 3-1 or 3-0, their PCT will be 62.50%. Such a figure would also be enough for them to make it to the finals without depending on other results.
In case of a 2-0 or 1-0 result against Australia, the PCT of the Indian team would be 60.65%. Once again, such a tally is likely to be enough for India to book their spot in the final.
If the series does not yield a result (0–0, 1–1, or 2–2 draw), India’s PCT will fall below the 60% mark. In such a situation, India would like Australia to beat South Africa by a big margin in the next Test series. Even the results of the series between West Indies and South Africa as well as New Zealand and Sri Lanka would need to go in India’s favour.
In a situation where India lose the 4-match Test series against Australia, India would need to comprehensively lose their upcoming Test assignments to South Africa and Sri Lanka. This scenario only holds true for a 0-1 defeat for India. In case of a 0-2, 0-3, or 0-4 defeat, India would be virtually out of the WTC final race.
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